With the exit of Rep. Kevin McCarthy, the ejection of George Santos, and the impending resignation of Rep. Bill Johnson, House Republicans’ bare majority is getting delectably precarious.
Daily Kos Elections political director David Nir games it all out, concluding that Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson will likely end up having a two-vote margin of error on any given measure.
Wherever the numbers end up, Republicans’ exceedingly thin majority throughout the 118th Congress has proven to be a blessing in disguise, despite Democrats’ failure to keep the majority last cycle. Rarely, if ever, has America seen a more pathetic display of governance than that offered by House Republicans this Congress. The chaos of multiple leadership battles amid the daily display of internecine warfare within the GOP caucus has been both instructive for voters and good for America heading into, yet again, the most consequential election of our lifetimes.
As former Rep. Liz Cheney bluntly noted this week, “A vote for Donald Trump may mean the last election that you ever get to vote in. … People have to recognize that a vote for Donald Trump is a vote against the Constitution.”
Cheney also called the prospect of Mike Johnson still being speaker in 2025 “terrifying” in an interview with MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow.
One of the reasons the race for control of the House is so critical is because it’s the 119th Congress that will certify the 2024 election, and House Democrats can serve as a backstop to any Republican election-stealing efforts if Democrats control the chamber.
To the benefit of the pro-democracy side, House Republicans have revealed themselves as completely incapable of leading anything. The message appears to be sinking in, based on Navigator Research polling of roughly 60 battleground districts that will decide control of the House in next year’s elections, with nearly 7 in 10 respondents recently saying Republicans have prioritized “the wrong things.”
Last month, pro-Trump Rep. Chip Roy of Texas summed up House Republican rule nicely.
“Explain to me one material, meaningful, significant thing the Republican majority has done,” Roy said during a floor speech.
Last week, Democratic Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries happily riffed off Roy’s rant in a press conference during the debate over expelling Santos from his seat.
“House Republicans have now been in the majority for a little under a year—they have nothing to show the American people that they have accomplished.,” Jeffries said, mentioning Roy’s assertion. “Nothing to meet the needs of the American people,” he continued.
Fortunately for Democrats, that dynamic won’t be changing anytime soon. House Republicans’ next debacle is already in process, with Johnson preparing to hold a vote as soon as next week on initiating a formal impeachment inquiry into President Joe Biden.
Not only will it not be popular with voters, it’s the perfect way for House Republicans to kick off 2024
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